Forecasting Climate Change Impacts on Urban Electricity Distribution Network Loads

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Title
Forecasting Climate Change Impacts on Urban Electricity Distribution Network Loads

CoPED ID
b6186ca6-9b07-45d0-a3aa-55e0835b9b48

Status
Closed


Value
£486,620

Start Date
June 30, 2015

End Date
June 29, 2017

Description

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Growing electricity demand and on-site generation in urban areas means that urban electricity networks require significant reinforcement. Much of the £43 billion that distribution network operators (DNOs) in the UK are forecast to spend out to 2050 on reinforcing the electricity networks feeding UK homes and businesses is expected to be deployed in constrained urban areas. While DNOs currently have access to load forecasting tools to plan this investment process by specific region and individual asset, there is currently no way of quantifying how climate change impacts on demand (e.g. more summer cooling and less winter heating) and distributed generation (e.g. changing average solar insolation and wind levels) will influence the extent of urban network upgrades required. To solve this problem, we will research and develop a full commercial tool integrating Met Office climate forecast data with DNO load data to identify the size and network location of potential climate change load impacts on urban electricity networks, resolved to individual network assets (all London primary substations in the first instance) under various climate change scenarios.

Element Energy Limited LEAD_ORG
Element Energy Limited PARTICIPANT_ORG
Uk Power Networks (Operations) Limited PARTICIPANT_ORG
Met Office PARTICIPANT_ORG

Mark Hughes PM_PER

Subjects by relevance
  1. Climate changes
  2. Forecasts
  3. Climate
  4. Distribution of electricity
  5. Towns and cities
  6. Electrical power networks
  7. Electricity consumption
  8. Scenarios
  9. Networking (making contacts)
  10. Production of electricity
  11. Networks (societal phenomena)

Extracted key phrases
  1. Forecasting Climate Change Impacts
  2. Urban electricity network
  3. Potential climate change load impact
  4. Urban Electricity Distribution Network
  5. Urban network upgrade
  6. Individual network asset
  7. Forecasting tool
  8. Electricity demand
  9. Distribution network operator
  10. Met Office climate forecast datum
  11. Climate change impact
  12. Urban area
  13. Network location
  14. Climate change scenario
  15. Site generation

Related Pages

UKRI project entry

UK Project Locations