A study of processes controlling convection over complex terrain (UK-COPS)

Find Similar History 20 Claim Ownership Request Data Change Add Favourite

Title
A study of processes controlling convection over complex terrain (UK-COPS)

CoPED ID
18721097-50d2-42c8-9368-abb2f15edc04

Status
Closed


Value
£4,649,600

Start Date
June 1, 2008

End Date
March 1, 2013

Description

More Like This


Flooding caused by heavy convective rain is a serious problem in the UK. Flash floods in hilly terrain can be particularly damaging. The Convective Orographically-induced Precipitation Study (COPS) is an international project designed to address this problem and to improve predictions of heavy convective precipitation. This proposal is the UK component of COPS which adds specific objectives complementary to those of other COPS partners. It will produce an understanding of the processes that control the formation and development of convective precipitation over hilly terrain which will be used by scientists within the Mesoscale Modelling group of the Met Office in reducing uncertainty in predictability of convection over complex terrain with the Unified Model (UM). This will be achieved by synthesising COPS data alongside modelling activities focussed on interpreting the data. The problem involves five integrated parts that need to be tackled together. (1) The thermally driven flows in complex terrain depends critically on the surface exchanges of heat and water. (2) The composition and size distribution of the aerosol particles have a crucial influence on the microphysics and dynamics of the convective clouds and particularly the amount of precipitation. (3) The thermals and other features in the boundary layer that transport heat, moisture and aerosols to the convective clouds. (4) The development of precipitation depends critically on the detailed microphysics and dynamics of the convective clouds. (5) Finally, reducing uncertainty in predictability of the location and timing of convective storms in hilly terrain with the UM, depends on the knowledge gained from these four parts. In particular the relative contributions of different sources of uncertainty in predictability of convective storms in hilly terrain will be quantified, thus providing the basis for an ensemble forecast system.

Alan Blyth PI_PER
Stephen Mobbs COI_PER
Alan Gadian COI_PER
Andrew Ross COI_PER
Kenneth Carslaw COI_PER
James McQuaid COI_PER
Douglas Parker COI_PER

Subjects by relevance
  1. Convection
  2. Aerosols
  3. Rain
  4. Clouds
  5. Atmosphere (earth)
  6. Forecasts
  7. Rainfall

Extracted key phrases
  1. Heavy convective precipitation
  2. Complex terrain
  3. Heavy convective rain
  4. Hilly terrain
  5. Convective cloud
  6. Convective storm
  7. UK component
  8. Flash flood
  9. Study
  10. Process
  11. Convection
  12. Problem
  13. Cops datum
  14. Aerosol particle
  15. COPS

Related Pages

UKRI project entry

UK Project Locations